Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 4, 2024

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Le Train 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Freighttrain 1351 3.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Shaylenne 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Dlj Thrill Me Eagle 4.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Backstreet Charmer 5.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Apolitical Panda 8.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Mp Easy 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Big Al V 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Achiever Pilot 2.00 2 4-1
2 2 Kool First Liner 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Kp Willi 3.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Heza Gold Prize 5.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Tee Cos Queen 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Jmg I Jess Blew by U 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden) – Maiden

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ima Powerful Jammer 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Cindys Carter Miss 4.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Move Over 2.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Eagles Reward 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Tf Nana Jess 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Pata Piloto 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jess Tiz an Ocean 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Fast Bar B 12.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Loveyoutothemoon 1.80 3.2 6-1
6 6 A Kool Design 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Rl Krafty Wish 4.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Flirting With Luck 15.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Vf Wheely Sixty 8.00 8.2 16-1
1 1 Ajs Legacy 20.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Cash Magic Toast 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tg Classy Dasher 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Ferarri Prize 8.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Jj One Meteorite 5.00 1.7 3-1
10 10 Tf Eyesa Dashin 3.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Demystify 12.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Five Bar Chocolate 8.00 8.2 15-1
9 9 Hy On Sweet Luck 6.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Epoch 15.00 8.5 16-1
5 5 Happy Dad 15.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 You Know Why 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Rogues Fast Prize 0 0-1
6 6 Queen of Power 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mean Tweet 3.50 1.3 2-1
4 4 Game Cowgirl 6.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Rogues Fast Prize 5.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Rl Kanguro 6.00 3.4 7-1
7 7 Eye B Jammin 2.50 4.8 9-1
5 5 Jb El Santo Perry 10.00 5 9-1
8 8 Bar the Saint 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 You Bux 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Open the Bam Corona 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Inperfect 3.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Im Fast N Famous 4.50 4.4 8-1
7 7 Cr Black Chill 10.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Heza Okey Dokey Kat 6.00 6 11-1
6 6 Shakemup Kennadi 10.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Rf One Famous Blue 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mooner Deluxe 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Star of Vestal 4.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Lady Trackn Red Aces 5.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Lets Geaux 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Dolens Boy 12.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Tm Grand Dynasty 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Jammin Jewel 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 Leaving Seperately 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Corona Leaving Hail 15.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Oh My Fortunes 15.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.