Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Luckforyou | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honestly | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Italian Soiree | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yellow | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Home Wrecker | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | As Catch Can | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gata Brazil | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| As Catch Can | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sedona | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ichiban | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miz Sense | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Mystery | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whistler’s Style | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Toned Up | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Perfect Sting S.) – Perfect Sting S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mouffy | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bustin Bay | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Damaso | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Movie Moxy | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moonage Daydream | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Beth | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Poppy | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Mile (IRE) | 2.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tirupati | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Greatest Gift | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bewildered | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silvology | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Patty Brown Eyes | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Headline Numbers | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Tricks | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Thirteen Red Flags | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cover the Spread | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Graceful Rose | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Call Her Bluff | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Enigmatic | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just Music | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Amity Island | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Til There Was You | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X | 9 | Big Invasion | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 6 | High Front | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 3 | Thin White Duke | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heaven Street | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Boat’s a Rockin | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Bourbon Music | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Outlaw Kid | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 10 | Cloudy | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 13 | Gun It | 1.20 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2B | 11 | Yes and Yes | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Son of a Birch | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charging | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 12 | Spun and Won | 2.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Indianquest | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Going Concern (GB) | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Paddington | 1.40 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Be Like Clint | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catch a Wave | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Hold the Salsa | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Scat Tu Tap | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1A | 9 | Moore’s Law | 1.80 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brees | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Victory Ride S.) – Victory Ride S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Emery | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Halina’s Forte | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mystic Lake | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Autumn Evening | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Degree | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sendera | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tongue Twister | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bossy Jeans | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Alette d’Oro | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky and Gorgeous | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Troubled Luck | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Splendid One | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Dancing Liana | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Maxing the Bank | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Practical Royalty | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Saving Memories | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | War Terminatrix | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Malibu’s Dynamite | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dubawi Wowie | 12.00 | 13 | 24-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Devils Arrow | 5.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.