Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Not a Lost Cause | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yoga | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speedy Essa | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dixie Morning | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Victoria Elizabeth | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Get My Drift | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Empty Gesture | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Highland Life | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Three Sonny Sideup | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Always a Way | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kinetic Stone | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forest Star | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Rush | 2.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Orphan Hallie | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Loaded Vixen | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cefalo | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kavala | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Gamble | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lizzies Girl | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Helluva Holiday | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Miah | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Silent Miracle | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Success | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Four Aces High | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Soulmate | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forester’s Fortune | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Determined Fury | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Warp Ride | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sailor’s Passion | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Maximum Fifty | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wildfire | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prima | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Talking Wonders | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Xi | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Load | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magical Trick | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Aim for the Sky | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Light the Lamp | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jazz Hands | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Reload | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shekky Shebaz | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Courageous Copper | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spite Store | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Truebelieve | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Giant Teddy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rat Portage | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clayton | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One True Gentleman | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blackteca | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Life Is Hard | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Competitive Touch | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Speedy Hans | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Boston Tea Party | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reload’s Rascal | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hunt Master | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Olympic Runner | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Poulin in O T | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eskiminzin | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | There’s No Joe | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Blast in the Snow | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Great Faces | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | H C Holiday | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cupid’s Claws | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Green Fleet | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Media Sensation | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stop the Humbug | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mister Meseeks | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mambointheforest | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Coleyville | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Hell Bent | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.