Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Treaty Obligation | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pentathlon | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prairie Dunes | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Deputy Mischief | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Digital Ops | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shop Lifting | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Always Rosie | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Serengeti | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’m Thinking | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cost Containment | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Oops Haha | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Irish Jackson | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | First Class Cat | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fuligni | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roja Ligera | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Try It Again | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ghostly Girl | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Enfuega | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Newsdley | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frannie Lew | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | George’s Vice | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maggy’s Palace | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Five to Two | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Printrack | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magnolia Midnight | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mailman Money | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Market Alert | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gun Maestro | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beachwalker | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Purchase | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Liar’s Poker | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Clear Conscience | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | American Grant | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dolly’s Bank | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King Freud | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miracle Mike | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gold Templar | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Teta’s Trotter | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Topic Changer | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sox for Daughters | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | B D Saints | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bob John Ray | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mission Hill | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | All Good Here | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Six Fortyfive | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wind Dancer | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sorority Prank | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Z Dancer | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | God Laughs | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiz the Prince | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saffredi | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Me Wise Magic | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Big Ego | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | D C Boy’s | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Romantic Charmer | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cupid’s Heart | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pitch Clock | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Risk Free | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | St. Benedicts Prep | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nikitis | 2.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Belle of the Ball | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Girl Jal | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four Top | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 2 | Poker Joker | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | John the Baptist | 20.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Pujol | 20.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Riverwalk | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cobblestone Bridge | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Four Top | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Parkway | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Paxsational | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Badge of War | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ask Isaac | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | McCullough | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sandborn | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Dark Devil | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 16 | Confabulation | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Glint | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 13 | Strategic Decision | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.