Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Freedom of Speech | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Privman | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Game Warrior | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Canyahearmeknockin | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mischief River | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Show of Force | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | General Jackson | 4.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Curvino | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wrong Turn Cupid | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jacrodra’s Devil | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keep Your Coil | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tapit Doux | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vella | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Modera | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Audible Silence | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Daddy Justify | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charlottes Delight | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chasing Rain | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ringtone | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Topstitch | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Smart Kitten | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Just a Little Luck | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Taylor | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dulce Emma | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Keychain Girl | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yolo Calls | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hapi Hapi | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marks Hip | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Departure | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | It’s My House | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nauvoo | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taishan | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Neezer Dalton | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Celebration | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dorie Miller | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Disruptive Artist | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nanci Griffith | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ms Moab | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ur in Trouble | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ignatowski | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Drive for Show | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Takamakahara | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Creative Om | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mucho Suerte | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Commander D | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Los Alamitos Derby) – Los Alamitos Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tapalo | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Curlin’s Kaos | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cornell | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wynstock | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kamaina Cruiser | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Donita Rose | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Danzingwith Maxine | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Pancho Barnes | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Stellar Cap | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fly At Knight | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tom’s Star | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | G’oro | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Kavorka | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shoot for the Sky | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cowgirl Royal | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Conquest Celsius | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 98 | Betty Pack | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.