Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Minny Speightster | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Deleted Video | 0.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paynted Thunder | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alabama Shake | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Who Knew Girvin | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Salvo Trigger | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Al | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Crooked Dreams | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Buckin’ Dreamer | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | El Divino Nino | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Intrepid’s Legacy | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jackson Road | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Big Enchilada | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Wow Wish | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Had Enough | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | On Jet Heir | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Russian Hammer | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Etretat | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Net Worth | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wild Alex | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Perspicacious Boy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | The Ice Man Carlos | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Thirty West | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Art Handler | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saisir Le Jour | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Factum Love Style | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Icandothat | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rugby Road | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Southern Pass Time | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | P J’s Song | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Galt’s Promise | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | St Pete’s Passion | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Starforce | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | The Drunk Neighbor | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Gran Runner | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rahmer | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Classy Solution | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shanghai Superfly | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Touchdown Montage | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Red Devolution | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lookin for Justice | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luckytobeinamerica | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Beau | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Next Episode | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiki Bar | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Divine Grace | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blonde Samaritan | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beachgrass | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Clockstrikestwelve | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Memphis Showboat | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Memento Mi | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willow Creek Road | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 1 | 1 | Willow Creek Road | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freedom Road | 1.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Neuschwanstein | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cajun Dream | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Edge | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Skippy | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Doin’ittherightway | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Deep Faith | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Goodluckchuck | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hey Porter | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Super John | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Colora Kid | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.