Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Victorious Wave | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Rod Rumble | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Writer’s Regret | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hatch | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brazillionaire | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Prince James | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Honorary Degree | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail Man | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Badlands Ruler | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heard On Thestreet | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Retail Man | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Express | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Buckortwo | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gum Island | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Solo in Paris | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Colonel Vargo | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sagamore Mischief | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bustin Shout | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bronx Bomber | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | American Gentleman | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ribbons and Medals | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | High Heat | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Thethrillofvictory | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bad Larry | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vettriano | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Boys Code | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Russian Realm | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Manny Penny | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wine Responsibly | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Art of Courage | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | Art of Courage | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Price Is Truth | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nano Man | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miztertonic | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Impulsive Spending | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spoken Bluntly | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Proven Good | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Twisted Whisker | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Tides | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Crazy Legs Hirsch | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Valenzan Day | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Goldini | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Winning Connection | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cheeky Tico | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Co Conspirator | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Disappearance | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Strong Light | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Manila S.) – Manila S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Deterministic | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Neat | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Please Advise | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Move to Gold | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Drunk On Sake | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mattingly | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Reflexivity (IRE) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kerry | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Proud Mary | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cynane | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Masterof the Tunes | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Epic Miss Justice | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Firefoot | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Low Society | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | St. Benedicts Prep | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Risk Free | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Fancy Azteca | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sheriff Bianco | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Subrogate | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | He’smyhoneybadger | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Repo Rocks | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Factually Correct | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Howgreatisnate | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Runninsonofagun | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Into It | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Yo Daddy | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Covert Kat | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just for Luck | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Skellig Island | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Addicted to You | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Collect From Ike | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heathguard | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jhirsch | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Az U Chase Me | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Indian Mischief | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Relate | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Front Man | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harvard | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Willintoriskitall | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | J J’s Joker | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Emirates Road | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Officer Derick | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shadizaar | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zapruder | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.