Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mollie Tapper | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Abstract Moment | 10.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Ensign | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nuwanda | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Frosty Maya | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Afterneath | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whatta World | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Divina Dulce | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stormy Midnight | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Honorable Chill | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | True Sunshine | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Shugs | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Upswell | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Josie Wales | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I Can Do It | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dwelling Legacy | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gormley’s Gabriela | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Sox | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Biz Biz Buzz | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Outlaw Kid | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Determined Kingdom | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Winfromwithin | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Matta | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Music | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Talented Man | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Naked and Famous | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mose Perfect | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fun Lovin Criminal | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Caughtandcollected | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jardani | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brother Brad | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | North Highland | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prove My Love | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 8 | Fuhgeddaboudit | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Party On Girl (IRE) | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Afandi | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Prove My Love | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shero | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gastown Babe | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 14 | Deeds of Love | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bitty Boss | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dark Dahlia | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Beneath the Stars | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Whiteknuckleflyer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Poggibonsi | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Give Me Kisses | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Talk to the Judge | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Prado Road | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Soddy J | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Know Map | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Squints | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Hero | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King’s River | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Cat | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Brady Bear | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maybe It’s Time | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Invective | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Summer Anthem | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boca Guy | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Class Wizard | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Boss Man J J | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hachure | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jumpingjaggerflash | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Jefferson | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Eddie Felson | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bali’s Shade | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sharp Shot | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Alwaysinahurry | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Candy | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Exculpatory | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Point Dume | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Karan’s Notion | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spun and Won | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Classier | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Candy Doll | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Akayla (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | This Country | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cynthia June | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Oncourtcommentator | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Risky Beesness | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Urban Star | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | For Arrogate | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Save the Union | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.