Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Eastbostonbenny |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Louie the Sun King |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shea D World |
5.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Korrongo |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Go Billy Go |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sabian |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Adios Cole |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Grand Maxime |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Whiting Field |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Remerton |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sting Music |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mohawk River |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Crown That Saint |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Agent Mor |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fight Til Dawn |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Marshmallow Queen |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Amy the Butcher |
1.60 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chief Lady |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tearduc |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fairhopecurly |
3.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Just Take Notes |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Omo Ten Girl |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
No Action |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Miguel’s Belle |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Khozy Colby |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Misprint |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Chaina |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Face the Music |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Major Pryce |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Dontmesswithtess |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mad Madame Mim (IRE) |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Grey Princess |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Okay Fine |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sudoku Terry |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Judge Judith |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Saucy Six |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Chloe’s Toy |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Megan Makin Money |
1.60 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Foggy Note |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hits Different |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gridlock |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dat Dares Right |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Proverb |
0.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Super Curioso (ARG) |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rare Jewel |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Major King |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
B G Lee |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Krabi |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Nature Boy |
30.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lightning Tones |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Belleshazza |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Southern Palace |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Palace Flirt |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Nina’s Last Gift |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Belleshazza |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ritabook |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sprezzatura |
4.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lets Go Koko |
6.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Neom City |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Fly the W |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lord of War |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Vladislav |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lord Eddard Stark |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mutaawid |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ocala Dream |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sociallongdistance |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.