Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | G T Five Hundred | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Captivating Boy | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zippin Gigi | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cathedral Beach | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Molto Vivace | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fitzpatrick | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gunner Bay | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taillights | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mucho Mojo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Welaka | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dontkissdaminister | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Montauk Point | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Peterkin | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | El Franco | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Star Nation | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Philharmonic | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cash Equity (FR) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hidden Stash | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bal a Kazoo | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Runnin’ Ray | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Highway Robber | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tut’s Revenge | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sivako | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Howling Time | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Raise Cain | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Confidence Game | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Waver | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Delicate | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jewish Mother | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mary Loves Louie | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miavana | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Roshiell My Belle | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Statler Inn | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | La Bukana | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Barbarina | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Vino Tiempo | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Harrodsburg | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chance | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mauna Kea Bound | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | B Sudd | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Master of Arms | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Supremely | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gilded Craken | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Heart N Soul | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Express Cruiser | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Sagittarius | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Roussette | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yell County | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fear of Union | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Active Duty | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Overstatement | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Gotta Have Dreams | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oathbreaker | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Beckster | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cajun Cruiser | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Remember the Fear | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Paved in Gold | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Big Trouble | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our Dotsie | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hay Stack | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dreaming of Mo | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Candy Bar | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Johanny | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kodiac Wintergreen (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cecile | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Musical Prayer | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Milliat (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Last Call | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maria’s Revenge | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Divinely Bolt | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bella Haze | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Black Dog | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Reign Champagne | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Olivia’s Potion | 5.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Atomic City | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s a Swede | 15.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Martini | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tizntshelovely | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Trading Secrets | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mad About Marie | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Totally Justified | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pootoogook | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quinn’s Promise | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Crazy Cami | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Winakaching | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beauty N the Bolt | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reagan’s Flame | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zadorsky | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Beelieve Her | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Krickle | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Indescriptable | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Cool | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Backstretch Rose | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | High Fashion Kate | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nay V Belle | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Asternia | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Benedetta | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Moscato | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Trial | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fibber | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Into Champagne | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Tanya Showers | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ms. Tart | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Soundbite | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Union Mist | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Centuria (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stay Lost | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Looking for Ginny | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | I Am the Sauce | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Above All Else | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Time for Magic | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Leametatrainer | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lemon Latte | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stratospheric | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Stephanieswarrior | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | My Brazilian Girl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | For Love and Honor | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Redo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Faded Jeans (GB) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.