Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hours in a Day | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Surrender | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unaffected | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whitby | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Battle of Britain | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shakin the Belle | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Discreet Bnb | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Fromanothamutha | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Optic Way | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | St Andrews | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | First Glimpse | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Nolo Contesto | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mason Mania | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Nimitz Class | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Spooky Lady | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Snowy Evening | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Autumn Glory | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Determined Lilly | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ribot’s Valentine | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cinderella’s Cause | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Saratoga Kisses | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Solib | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Andy Cant | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Barnstorming | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fighting Back | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Endowed | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ice Road | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bobby the Tank | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Lucky Luke | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chalky Cat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Big Prankster | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | On the Hill | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aggelos the Great | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Apollo Code | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Solo’s Fury | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rock the Weekend | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Parade Ring (IRE) | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Risk Threshold (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Scarlet Poppy (IRE) | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Echo Baybe (IRE) | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Out too Late (GB) | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lamorna | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stage Presence | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chardan | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bam Bam | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aunt Nona | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tipple | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mac to Moore | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | She’s Always Rosie | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Miss Lao | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Starts Now | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Reward | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rozay Summer | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spirit of Esther | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Detonate | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Adult Entertainer | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dell Arte | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hidden War Dance | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Strong Play | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mia Nipotina | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Generous Luva | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | War Terminatrix | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rider’s Special | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Twelth Man | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Quick Hammer | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kentucky Joker | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Union Lights | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mudville Nine | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Magnificent Mile | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fight Fiercely | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Blue Plate Special | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Solo Empire | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kid Kreesa | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Judge Rules | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wo Hop | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Charming Jim | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frozen Four | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dunedin Causeway | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Four Eyes | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Feline Treasure | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Podere | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Impulsive Spending | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Irish Tides | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.