Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bricklayer | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tapitoro | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rocket Night | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seven Taylors | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bounteous | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prince of Power | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Publicity | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wyoming Class | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Theresasilverlinin | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | De’ Ans Eighty | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Punchy Girl | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caumsett | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wupkar | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coexist | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Birdie Rose | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High Limit | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Tap Into This | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Voodoo Daddy | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sandman | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Keep It Easy | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Normandy Coast | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Altobelli | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | High Limit | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bright Skittle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Exuberant Mischief | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Strummin | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Buy the Rights | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Restore (FR) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | What’s Crackin | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Is Olivia | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gloriette | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smart With Heart | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Hot Jeanie | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Big Calhouna | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Blood | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Trouble’s Roaring | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beer Run | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Send Cash | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cafe Racer | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Surf City | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Glacial Power | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wendelssohn | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | D Day | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | He’s Elusive | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Excellent Chance | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nyttime Story | 20.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Luckyasiwonswas | 30.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Side Eye | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Mischievous M | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Firefight | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Prospero (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Princip | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pure Panic | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mac Daddy Too | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Timeless Bounty | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Global Sensation | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beyond Best | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lunar Module | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Shopper’s Revenge | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sun Thunder | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Resolve | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Fight | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Game Warden | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Glen Airy | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Curlin’s Gesture | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Kitty Hawk | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Baytown Bruiser | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Frosty Indulgence | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ghee for the Win | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Iuka Miss | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maylen | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nothing But Time | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Talavera | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Where Is She | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Elliott Moon | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Estrela | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tapwrit Warrior | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dame Maude Chardin | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Teamanymartunies | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Low Key Flex | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.