Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Runaway Charlie | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Gunnarson | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gunpoint | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bedard | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bowman’s Run | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Times a Breeze | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Imperial Star | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rebel Faith | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Red Ensign | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Town’s Warrior | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Agile Dancer | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fabelman | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Munnings Model | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Killary | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Where Is Essa | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Secret Threat | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Secret Storm | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Rye’s My Guy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shadow Realm | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sedburys Ghost | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Conacher | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Most Likely | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coolcollected | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Doadster | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dialing Aragorn | 2.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Megastar | 6.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ringintheholiday | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Royal Hudson | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jay Bird | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quiet Intent | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mighty Sea | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flawless Ruler | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Good Rapport | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Samuel | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Enchant Me | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Valley Victory | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gendragon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | This Dude a Breeze | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Serenading Hall | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Its Time to Shine | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speedy Bulleit | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dubawi Bull | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Entry | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rebelious | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Myra’s Boy | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Monday Morning | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Good Sin | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Redneck Rebel | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lost Star | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Oscarsson | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Diomedes | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King Rosso | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon North | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Swift Delivery | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Connor | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Side Street | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One Last Kiss | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thor’s Cause | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rideau Hall | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Aryeh | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hurricane Clair | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sharp Flame | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nikita’s Gem | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fourfiftyfour | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Flag Flying | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Candid Candace | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spirit Bear | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moral Turpitude | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Poetic Amy | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Great Kate | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jokestar | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fifty B M G | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chamber Music | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jo Daddy | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Junipero Serra | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pierre | 2.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Legal Catch | 4.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smart Almasty | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Romance | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sherif Ali | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ninetyfour Expos | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Palace View (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | C My Meister | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Palio | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mehlek | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Maakwa | 4.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crumlin Lad | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Exude | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lac Macaza | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fighter in the Win | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Twin City | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rapid Test | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tiz Romantic | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | On Thin Ice | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dun Drum | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | South Bend | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grandson | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Edge | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jump for the Win | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Cool Kiss | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Luckman | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.