Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Stylish Anna |
1.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Always Connected |
2.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
No Walk Inthe Park |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ritz On Broadway |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bravo Regina |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Vicious Moves |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
K’s Pick |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Discreet Devil |
10.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Villegas Swing |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Science (IRE) |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ninth of April |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Katie’s Notion |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Boom Boom Kaboom |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sand Dune |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Full Contact |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Hometown Hero |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Alvy |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Zoomer |
5.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ekati’s Verve |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Stacks of Silver |
1.60 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ghost of Khozan |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Zipper Zapper |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Liffey |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Martynas’ Joy |
8.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
La Fantasma |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rue Cambon |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Spirit in the Mist (FR) |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Vai Gattina |
20.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gata |
4.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Baywatch Blonde |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Exit Right |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Conspiracy Fact |
2.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Polterer |
1.60 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
The Colora Kid |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Heartfullofstars |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Quiet Rebel |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Twist ‘n Twirl |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Vax a Nation |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Big Big Star |
6.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Skipperini |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bolt From Above |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Napoleon’s War |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Praline’s Cat |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Renewing Vows |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Awesome Flay |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Collection Day |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
On the Chill |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
New Jersey Heist |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
I Wanna Rock |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Grand Rozzo |
2.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Storm Cat Eyes |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
East to Beast |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rubidor |
8.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Awesome Friend |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.