Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Fighting Words |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Shace Sloane |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fear the Facts |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
My Sergeant |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Run My Card |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Torch Is Passed |
3.50 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Zaddy |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Centerfold Guy |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Honor That Dude |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ghostly Rose |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Sammy’s Samaritan |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fifty One Fifty |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ocala Rocket |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Texas Air Force |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rebel Joke |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Thingsrgettinharry |
8.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Testa Dura |
12.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Amazing Jett |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Rezasrolex |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jabran |
2.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Guaicaipuro |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pack Plays |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
T B Twelve Always |
6.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Orb Alpha |
30.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Karaoke |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Calypso Charlie |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Grand Tower |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Barry the Builder |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rapscallion |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Joe From Kiev |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Buddy Frank |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wicked Phantom |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bullet Blues |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ruby’s Big Red |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bigly Deal |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Fourty Four |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Breeze the Bayou |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Vito’s Brother |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Wine Goggles |
1.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Amazing Woo |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dynamic Empire |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ahorsewithnoname |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Blame Dennis |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Big Band Luzziann |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Confer |
6.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Linny Kate |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lady Dominance |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
I’m Blushing |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Compass Fire |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lucky Girl Coco |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Starry Hope |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
American Speed |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lights of Broadway |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cattin |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Centrodelantero |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Yacowlef (IRE) |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Husband Material |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Favorite Topic |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Marshamarshamarsha |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Now Showing |
2.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
My Royal Vow |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Grace Darling (IRE) |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lady Azteca |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
E M’s Treasuregirl |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Good Bright Flames |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Andie One |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Diamonds for Lily |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
No Deliberation |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nichiren |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Takecareofbusiness |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Harry’s Onthefly |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Snowname |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Embrace the Dream |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Abrir Caminos (CHI) |
2.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sabian |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Boston Princess |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dubstep |
10.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wicklow Gal |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wicca Wisdom |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Don’t Get Pickled |
2.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Nana Fanny |
4.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sandpiper Memories |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Streaking Grey |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dream Trap |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.