Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Turn On The Jets (IRE) |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
First Peace |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Motorious (GB) |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Unconquerable Keen (IRE) |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Man O Rose |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
War At Sea |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Whatmakessammyrun |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Noble Reflection |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Pioneer Prince |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mucino |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
De’ Medici |
1.60 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bad Sneakers |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mischelof (CHI) |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mongolian Altai |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Seattle Breakout |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Man Overboard |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
John Dunbar |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Arrogates Spirit |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Elector |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Montana |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Good N Thirsty |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Cinema S.) – Cinema S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Final Boss |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gold Foot |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Final Boss |
1.60 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Blue Eyed George |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
British Isles |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sea Singer (IRE) |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Ultimate Gamble |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Coalinga Road |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Clooney |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Smart Mo |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Taishan |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ghazaaly |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Dual Threat |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (San Juan Capistrano S.) – San Juan Capistrano S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Rockemperor (IRE) |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Offlee Naughty |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rimprotector |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Planetario (BRZ) |
1.20 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Order and Law |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bee Catcher |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Charmz Away |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Style Cat |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Keep Dancin Nick |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Infamous Angel |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Case Hit |
8.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Nap |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
It’s Thirsty Time |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Just Trust Me |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pax a Punch |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Go Go Prancer |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Kerry Gold |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Wine and Whisky |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Hacking It Up |
12.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
City of Angels |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Big Bet Jafinsafa |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Big George |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Anastasio’s Secret |
50.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Handsome Red |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Fly the Sky |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Talklessworkmore |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Mobe Town |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Thales |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pat’s Paddock Pick |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
The Big Cheeseola |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Carol’s Comic |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Outgunned |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Picking It Up |
2.50 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kahuna Magic |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
She’z the Law |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Runyon Canyon |
3.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ima Joker |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Kelly’s Out (IRE) |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Blue Fashion |
30.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Upcharge |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Highly Desirable (IRE) |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ziti (FR) |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
God’s Favor |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Ignatowski |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
9 |
Seattle Surf |
20.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
8 |
7 |
Vilified |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
6 |
Winsitwell |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Cupid’s Crusader |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Square D’ Oro |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
11 |
10 |
Summer Chief |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mongolian Frost |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
12 |
11 |
Only Alleged |
6.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Too Wild to Tame |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
9 |
8 |
Mi Cabo Express |
6.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
5 |
98 |
Getemdusty |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
98 |
Audible Silence |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
On the Whim |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Anmer Hall |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
11 |
11 |
Father Delay |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
12 |
12 |
Seismic Spirit (IRE) |
10.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Halfway Line (GB) |
3.50 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bolt Supremacy |
6.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
King Apollo |
8.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dancing Rinca |
15.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
10 |
10 |
Tigerhon (FR) |
6.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fleet Feet |
20.00 |
11.3 |
21-1 |
2 |
2 |
We’re in Trouble |
12.00 |
11.6 |
22-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gypsy Tears |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.