Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Dark Pool |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Magic in the Park |
4.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Compass Rises |
12.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Active |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Independence Way |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kiss Me More |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Biscuit |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dead Sexy |
8.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Vana Bright |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Peyton Elizabeth |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mavilus |
20.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Always Laughing |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ginger Girl |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Social Lady |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Marley’s Ghost |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Sometimes I Do |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
Nielson |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bold Talk |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
12 |
12 |
Tik Tok Daddy |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kinda Fonda Wanda |
4.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Great Googlymoogly |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tear It Up |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
8 |
8 |
Band Tour |
30.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sometimes I Do |
8.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
2 |
2 |
Is It Five |
20.00 |
12.9 |
24-1 |
10 |
10 |
Dialed in a Panic |
20.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
16 |
16 |
Laddie Dance |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Taji Mike |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Simon’s Choice |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Silent Roar |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Under the Overpass |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Contrivance |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Satisfied |
20.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mary Katherine |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
13 |
13 |
Fivecommatwo |
30.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Flinny Tin Tin |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
12 |
12 |
Major Houlihan |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
La Tache |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Believe in Freedom |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Funzalo |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Arrogates Dream |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Romantic Story |
2.50 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bossy Boots |
30.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Solving Progress |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Molly Fantasy (GER) |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Society Ball |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bay Street |
2.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kilo Road |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Honor the Truth |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dazzy |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ribbonsinherhair |
4.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Thencomemorning |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Touisset |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Clouds of White |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Chickahominy |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Angel Art |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Luckbealadytonight |
30.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Determined Sail |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sweeterthanwhiskey |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sultry Sally H |
30.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Money’s Worth |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Rominski |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sir Wellington |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Recruiter |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Feeling Woozy |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Threes Over Deuces |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Factor It In |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Karan’s Notion |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stormy Blues S.) – Stormy Blues S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Cap Classique |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Toupie |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
El Terreno |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shuangxi (IRE) |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Discreet Ops |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Amidst Waves |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Roanan Goddess |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Miss Harriett |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Parola Sicura |
10.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
15 |
15 |
Carmelina |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
My Girl Ginger |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
12 |
12 |
Low Mileage |
30.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
8 |
8 |
Concerti |
30.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
13 |
13 |
Caress |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Independenceavenue |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Aristocratic |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Musical Heart |
1.40 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Heads Or Tails |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pressing Concern |
30.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Shoot Themessenger |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Luv Ya Bye Bye |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
His Name Is Sue |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Geaux Yoshka |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Raise a Speights |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.