Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Citizen Judy |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Meucci’s Revenge |
3.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Moochie Girl |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Baytown Cleopatra |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Book’em |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jewish Mother |
12.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Spankerboom |
8.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rosato |
12.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
2 |
2 |
Preyathousandwords |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Mo for Us |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wowsers |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lady Aberdeen |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sombra Dorada |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Classy’n Connected |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Angels Above |
6.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
American Splendor |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Strong State |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Flaming Glory |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tiffany |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Island Ride |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
The Feisty One |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dare to Breeze |
8.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sherbini |
10.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Talksalot |
10.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
10 |
10 |
Huixtla |
12.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bisa |
12.00 |
9.8 |
18-1 |
2 |
2 |
Strong State |
15.00 |
10.3 |
20-1 |
11 |
11 |
Princess of Omaha |
10.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Bebedouro |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Zeca Diabo |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
On My Honor |
12.00 |
1.9 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wicked Melody |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Du Monde |
15.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lord Diamond |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Let’s Go Champ |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Shiva |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Your So Sillea |
|
0 |
0-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dazzling Blue |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Your So Sillea |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Nom de Plume |
15.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
American Band |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Condensation |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Quick Munny |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Effortlesslyelgant |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Rocky Joy |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cloudy Holiday |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sugar Hook |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Over and Ollie |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
Rebel Red (GB) |
3.50 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Cabernaydo |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Very Satisfactory |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cowboy Cache |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
First Bid |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Freedom Maker |
4.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
10 |
10 |
Pace Yourself |
15.00 |
9.8 |
19-1 |
6 |
6 |
English Chunnel |
20.00 |
10.9 |
21-1 |
15 |
15 |
Sandborn |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Firefight |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Bomb Cyclone |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Motorcade |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pico d’Oro |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
True Jedi |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Shuffle Dance |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tagliatelle |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
You Make Me Happy |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Supremely |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Joe the Tailor |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Triple Elvis |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
Squire Creek |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Improbable Journey |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lugan Knight |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Triple Elvis |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Trust Daddy |
15.00 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Briterdayzahead |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Echo Again |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Mauna Kea Bound |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Candy Man Rocket |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pro Oxidant |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Chattalot |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fort Warren |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Insolito |
10.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Invulnerable |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Macron |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Market Street |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Committee of One |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Yellow Card |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Inflation Nation (IRE) |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Linzer |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Zartownis |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Monsieur Candy |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Polster |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sugar Gray Leonard |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mackville |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Grande Tortugon (CHI) |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Midnight Ambition |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cajun Cruiser |
10.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hallelujah Harris |
15.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lobo Salvaje |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Lucchesi |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Beckster |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Guatape |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
Gun Show |
3.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Blood Brother |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Keypad |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
11 |
11 |
Baule Del Tesoro |
15.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
6 |
6 |
Munyhungry |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.