Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mo Lute | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Promised Oath | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Romance | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dontdrinkanddrive | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Lengua | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Bonita | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Simona’s Choice | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Do You Bileve | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | War Music | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sassy Ain’t I | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Runninthestreets | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Marshside Mama | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Suburban Prince | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Obviously Too | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pizza Charlie | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mojito | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Apollo Bay | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just Johnny | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brilliant Colors | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Case | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sincerely Mine | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Razor Wire | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strollntothemarket | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Madethedean’slist | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stumpy’s Love Song | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Subsequent Event | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Topper T | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Say It Nicely | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | American Posse | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tin Badge | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frankly Epic | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Singh | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Temple City Run | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Louie | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | My Four Point Oh | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hoodwicked | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beth’swickedsmack | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Supine Duchess | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Opal Bay | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shadow Banned | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pistolpackingal | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zoe Nation | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lavender Lil | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bayleywick | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Curlin’s Lil Gal | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kayla | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gp’s Amazing Grace | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gold Strategy | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Xcaret | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Black Storm | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Champion by Design | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Commander Rex | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ocean Ride | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Black Storm | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cowboy Don | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Graphene Cassock | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wheeler Dealer | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lover Boy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Mr Creed | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Blueskiesandangels | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.