Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Joya Del Sur | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Diva Ready | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Hamilton | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nicolar | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pounding Music | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Isabella’s Glory | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cupids Dream | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coal Mine | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Congress Hall | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Time Vixen | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Waterloo Rose | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Loving Cup | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Mo Traffic | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Majesty’s Freedom | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tina Tina Tina | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | At First Sight | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Good Story | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Faith and Liberty | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just the Thing | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Short of Dinero | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Job’s Not Finished | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bali Hai | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flitter | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sun Streaming | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | The Amazing Mizzen | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Landofhopeandreams | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shared Authority | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No More Kisses | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pink Peonies (IRE) | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gin Gin’s Approval | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Splash of Jack | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mor Mor Mor | 15.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Anita Beer | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cooter’s Revenge (AUS) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Peachessweetnotion | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paperback Edition | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shirley Knot | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stormy Irish Lass | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Any Fools Gold | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A P M Notion | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Skip Thru Da Fire | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Confluence Lassie | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Never More Valor | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tidewater | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 9 | 9 | Tidewater | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Odinson | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smitten Enough | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Star Shopping | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | He’s Orientate | 20.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Lance | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thunder Lad | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Happy Jaunt | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Neuschwanstein | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Antonelli | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bel Ami | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mortal Sin | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stow On the Wold | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rock Bullet | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Longworth | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ijamsville | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Heart of Fire | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ship Master | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tortola | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Scorestosettle | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | If I Were You | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super Chunk | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Uncaptured Storm | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Walk Away Joe | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tate | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Southern District | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Remembering Wilbur | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Galatians | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ekati’s Verve | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | The Addison Pour | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eldest Son | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sports Editor | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Prankster | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hardspun Reason | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marched | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Riccio | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Amusing Mischief | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Street Copper | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Frightland | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tops the Chart | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gabriel Seven | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Casino Tricks | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Abuelo Paps | 0.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bali’s Shade | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chica Chuck | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hazednconfused | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.