Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Ask Arthur |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Django |
1.60 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Elko County |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Six Kings |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cat On Time |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tapit for the Win |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Goldys Lock |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Xtra Extraordinary |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Maui Mistress |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Casino Annie |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lady Robo |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ladle |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Crafty Gal |
3.50 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tan Pam |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Cloudwalker |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
14 |
14 |
Antique Silver |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Niki Nine Doors |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Moon Spun |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Princesa Celina |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Twirling Good Time |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hidden Class |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Foolish |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tipsy Runner |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pelican Lane |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Miss Peabody |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Caberneigh |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
13 |
13 |
Girls Weekend |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Zoe’s Prime |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Makeup |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Kohara (IRE) |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
York Tavern |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Write Off Jerry |
4.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Patrolman |
8.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
J T’s Imagination |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cashmeup |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gametime Gladiator |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Washington’s Union |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Notorious Sixohtwo |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mr. Faversham |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Starsandsixstrings |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Monomoy Girl Overnight S.) – Monomoy Girl Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Intricate |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Our Pretty Woman |
1.40 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Band of Gold |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Merasol Sugar |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lucky Speech |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Promisemeanempire |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Letstalkaboutme |
0.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Foreseen |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Queen of the Rodeo |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Heart Headed Woman |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Happy Happy |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Flawless Quality |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Chorleywood Overnight S.) – Chorleywood Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Webslinger |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bold Act (IRE) |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Stone Age (IRE) |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Red Run |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sugoi |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Anglophile |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Winning Spirit (GER) |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Wind Twist |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
King Curlin |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Tawny Port |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Utah Beach |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Systemic Change |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
American Blaze |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tiwanaku |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Yono |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tapsasional |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Texas Red Hot |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Outlier |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Frosty the Soldier |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Background |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Low Country Magic |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Generous Lover |
2.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Yo Puedo |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Best Seller |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Elliptic |
3.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Midnight Tango |
10.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Birdie Rose |
12.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wits and Wagers |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Appellate |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
13 |
13 |
Luz Divina |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Moonlight Gambler |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Restless Dreamer |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Just the Sky |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kimber Spice |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
On Command |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
12 |
12 |
Big Dig |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
9 |
9 |
Kiss Blue |
10.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
10 |
10 |
Heart Spin |
20.00 |
10.6 |
20-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tiz Sweet Emotion |
20.00 |
11.4 |
22-1 |
8 |
8 |
Adrasteia |
20.00 |
12.2 |
23-1 |
15 |
15 |
Strike When Ready |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Toffee Apple |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Without Cause |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Centuria (IRE) |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.