Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Summer of Mischief | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Little Blaze | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Atlantic Strike | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Amy | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Raceday Attire | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ship It | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honey Run | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Abitibi | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Kyle Beauty | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | The Toner | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Probationer | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Mo B | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Music Man | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Louisiana Jess | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mika | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pierce Elevated | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dbook | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Missed the Turn | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Run My Card | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spurrier | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lend It Tewmey | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flash of Genius | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King Me | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Campton | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lead Foot | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Stop | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Natorade | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Somethinabouther | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 1 | 1 | Aurelia’s Mischief | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Somethinabouther | 12.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Derry Girl | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kimchi Cat | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Viggiedal | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Mama | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eliza Vance | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Anakarina | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Melittlefrostgirl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Love’s the Answer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Sgt. Pepper | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Relampago Verde | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Viva La Red | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | El Matador | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Numero Dix (GB) | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Boy Tony | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mikealicious | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Now and Later | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Maximum Capacity | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hawks Creek | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Indian Gulch | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dreamgirl | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 10 | 10 | Mariposa de Pista | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flip Flops | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Praying | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boutwell Time | 3.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Troubler | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dreamgirl | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Toodle Loo | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spun Candy | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One Happy Island | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stellar Asset | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | On Your Mark | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Go West | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Money Run | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Aaron | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Solidify | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Infiltrator | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Just Might | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Remuda | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Front Run the Fed | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Let My People Go | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ambivalent | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Antares | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Condemn | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Confidence Game | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bango | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Candy Man Rocket | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Eye Witness | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Ryvit | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Transparency | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crystal Symphony | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Sense | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Magic | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lil Town Sis | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unstable Princess | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cumberland Falls | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tres Chic (ARG) | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | I Gotta Bolt | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Corkage Fee | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Just Like You | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.