Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Twirling Troillet | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Buck | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunday Spirit | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brother Rice | 1.40 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hezmorethanready | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bajan Boy | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Join the Dance | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Caroline Street | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stir Crazy | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Valentina Day | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Take Charge | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Samay (PER) | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jungle Juice (IRE) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Charlie Tolu | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Hair Sam | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spiralizer | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Morlock | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Asleep At Eight | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hedge | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Cordobes | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tartufo | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cool Quartet | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Classic King | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Khozan’s Success | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Improbable Story | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cox Canyon | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shortlist | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Run Carson | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sketch (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Okiro | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bear River | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hold My Bourbon | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prince of Power | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Smokey Smokey | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tell Me When | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sparkle of Hope | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Je Suis Rapide | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crackalacking | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Addicted to Love | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baytown Lovely | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Peek | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lou’s Legacy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bold Ambition | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Remarkable Mo | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Accident | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Air It Out | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Forced Errors | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Badge of War | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Movin’ On Up | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mrs. Astor | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tarneema | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spartan Queen | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Evita | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yarborough | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Robin Sage | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maria’s Revenge | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Wits and Wagers | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Mo Shiro | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Best Seller | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Cairo Street | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Janey Creed | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.