Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Sipping Firewater |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gotta Love Life |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kanjeng |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
No Rhyme Or Reason |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mind Your Mo |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Crimson Tapestry |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Al’s Romeo |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Vale |
2.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Burn Jakey Burn |
1.80 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Golden Luna |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Papa Bill |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
I’m an Oak |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Dancin Rocket |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mischievous Max |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gonzaga Bay |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
State School Smart |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Irish Coast |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Big Tap |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Thundershook |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
One Time Gem |
3.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ginger Rules |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Nasty Exaggerator |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Recorder |
2.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Waitin’ On a Woman |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Natusia |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
She’s Solid Silver |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Shesgotspirit |
3.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Canadian Jane |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Native Queen |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
R N B Baby |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Revenant |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
I Got a Guy |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Okie Clipper |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Irish Ransom |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Max’s Map |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Our Heavenly Gift |
10.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Doublecheck |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Light the Code |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Edgy Lover |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Skalkaho |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Annual Budget |
2.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cinco de Mo |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mc Cougar |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Littlemore Ta Kela |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tap On By |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sangria Sky |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Native Hellraiser |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Surprise Road Trip |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Hulen |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Drill’s Li’l Man |
4.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Scrutinizer |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
All Over Oliver |
20.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rock City Rocket |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mystery Man |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cash Express |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Broadway Pete |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Saltie Fire |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Obviously Too |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.