Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Queen Valentina | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hope You Dance | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bel Rosso | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Bia | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Iona | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Laila Bella Girl | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Karter’s Baby Blue | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Timely Reward | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | You Need Me | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frida | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bee a Queen | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Win N Your In | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Liz Dreamin | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | China Blue | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mattinata | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tearduc | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eilat | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bella Romance | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Subtle Faith | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | How Bout Dat | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Win Or Cellar | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mikes Myth | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. American | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Galipan | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paynted Blue | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dropkick Murphy | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Banneker | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Black Seal | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Beach Ready | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pacific Princess | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Harlan’s Legacy | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sals Dream Girl | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Worldly Beauty | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Andie One | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Big Bucksalot | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cross Haste | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Guillaume | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Double Play King | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Doc Amster | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Solomons Gold | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz a Prince | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Extendo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Full Disclosure | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Feast | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Detroit City | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sigiloso | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chrome Ghost | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Annointed | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sentenza | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Devilment | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Faith’s Spirit | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oconee Life | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Expert Witness | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Taparino | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Reggae Man | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.