Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Munson |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
The Toner |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sing Sing |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Conquering Cat |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Munson |
10.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Magnitude |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
El Dandi |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Keep It Easy |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fiddling Felix |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Summer Vibes |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Cash Ransom |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Ghostly Gal |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rose Palace |
15.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Margoinabubblebath |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Center Stage |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Forever Home |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Abitibi |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mercy Warren |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
For the Biscuit |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dreamster |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Mount Craig |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Higginsville |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pancake House |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Speed Institute |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Gotta Have Dreams |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fear of Union |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
First Player |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
12 |
12 |
Mandalorian |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mo Rum |
8.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Charnico |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Paved in Gold |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Lebombo |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Gagliardi |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Django |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Oathbreaker |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Simply in Front |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Weigh the Risks |
2.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kalispera (IRE) |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Takemetothebeach |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Big Trouble |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Modern Sound |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Purloin |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mischievousness |
8.00 |
8.9 |
17-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sierra Sky |
12.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
11 |
11 |
Cheyenne Moon |
30.00 |
12.3 |
23-1 |
15 |
15 |
Bella Cruella |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Buttercream Babe |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Cairo Street |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Pendulum |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Bella Haze |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Kodiac Wintergreen (IRE) |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Miss Enchanted |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Plagne Champagne |
15.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Amy Z |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Classic Claire |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Up the Creek |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Starcourt |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dark Fury |
3.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Leametatrainer |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
U Ain’t That Lucky |
12.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
4 |
4 |
Swag Shop |
12.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Phileas Fogg |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Speed Bias |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Prove Worthy |
15.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Banishing |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
12 |
12 |
King Ice |
20.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Commandperformance |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Guntown |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hurry Hurry |
6.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
The Prince’s Spur |
5.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Nyquick |
8.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
13 |
13 |
Huge Bigly |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
O P Firecracker |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Escapologist |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Hidden Stash |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Camp Hope |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Fuerteventura |
12.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Big Blue Line |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tut’s Revenge |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Johny’s Fireball |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Barberini |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cash Equity (FR) |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Point Proven |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
Bay Street Money |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Leading the Charge |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Warrior Johny |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Classic Catch |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Salute the Stars |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Tivy |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Attache |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Junior Bug |
12.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cold as Hell |
20.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Master of Arms |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cathedral Beach |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Global Stage |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tiger’s Legacy |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fan the Fire |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Saint in the City |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Lundberg |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.