Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tribal | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Omey Island | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fausto | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Middleburg | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cathal (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Goodfella (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Glory (GB) | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rostovsky | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Mo’s Gold | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Zimba Warrior | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Granada Flavor | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stop and a Tres | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tembo | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mastermind | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Champagne Camie | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Hopes | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Topolina | 1.20 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Corporal Violette (IRE) | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flymetothemoonbaby | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Laker | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | American Cat | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Man Overboard | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soul of Midnight | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Elector | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crowning Gold | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Res Ipsa Loquitur | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rogue Son | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Erebus | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bartholdy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Joyrider | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One Time Mark | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Siennois (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nuclear | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Juanito | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nitti (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Maximus | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | In Suspense | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Triple Bend S.) – Triple Bend S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Venkman | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big City Lights | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tahoe Sunrise | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Happy Jack | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Honeymoon S.) – Honeymoon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Circle of Trust | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Faith Understood | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shiloh’s Mistress | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sea Dancer | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Visually | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sakura Blossom | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pink Whitney | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cody Boy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coach Cronin | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Baby | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Last Call Paul | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tequila Talkin | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pay Tribute | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Artist Point | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | War On the West | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | S Y Dream | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crown Prosecutor | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Summer | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Carole Lombard | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Naughty Nadine (GB) | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rugelach | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sixteen Arches (IRE) | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jamies Inheritance | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mahina | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pastiche (GB) | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Belle Cherie | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Real Fire | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Mama Sue | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bangs | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 98 | Charm Your World | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.