Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Hey |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Govenor Hank |
2.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sammy’s a Givine |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gun Powder |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Spicy Valentina |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Box a Rocks |
3.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Girl Pro |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Undecoded |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gp’s Amazing Grace |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Eutychia |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Da Candy Cane |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Reina Del Sur |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Rabbit Hound |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Honest Opinion |
4.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
American Warrior |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Last Diamond |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gem Collection |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cravensworth |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Storm Catcher |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Monterey Peninsula |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Champion by Design |
6.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pure Rocket |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rickey B |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wheeler Dealer |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Riding the Train |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Once Upon a Dream |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Grand Design |
4.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Black Storm |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lover Boy |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Uptown Social |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Broadway Pete |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tuff Willy Te |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Handicap) – Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Demidanu |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Shemeansbizness |
6.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Flat Out Stormin |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ourpeppermintcandy |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Interstella |
4.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Angel’s Melody |
3.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rockets Sister |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Gray’s Lake S.) – Gray’s Lake S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Tee Off Time |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dawson’s Storm |
2.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Freedom to Speed |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Casa Limon |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mc Cougar |
3.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sincerely Mine |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
9 |
9 |
Specialsortastorm |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
8 |
8 |
Killian |
15.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Stroller Boy |
6.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
My Cajun Lady |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Accelerating Babe |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Betty Jo |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Scoot Along |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Morning Gordita |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bit a Bad News |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ready for Wine |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jill’s Lemon Drop |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.