Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Great Call | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Renegade Serenade | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Russian Hammer | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Style Me Royal | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Melody Win | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bear Hunt | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Trophy Room | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Marcus Junius | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unxpected Tiger | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Oiler | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fowl Nation | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Orocovix | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bushwick Bruiser | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Splendid Summer | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carnivore | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Covert Kat | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Deff (FR) | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Colora Kid | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ninth of April | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zapruder | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Elevated Game | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | You’re the One | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Principia | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Keen Lady | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rowsie Express | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Paloma | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beachgrass | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Haunted Room | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | The King Cheek | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sagrada Ray | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gunslinger (IRE) | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Castagno | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Samyaza | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Pick | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Battalion | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hoku | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | U S Constitution | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Peninsula | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boffo Kid | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ben’s Hero | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gambe Forte | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crooked Dreams | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Darvesh | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Tone C | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Downpatrick | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carentan | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nay Slayer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Paper Mansion | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Carroll Girl | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Inanna’s Quest | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Rush Kizzie | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Clockstrikestwelve | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She So Cool | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Synonymous | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Music Amore | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Angelofcanterbury | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Peach Nectar | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wow Wish | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | City Humor | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Limited d’Oro | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Etretat | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jack Cloud | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wootdareitis | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bad Henry | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.