Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Lee’s Baby Girl |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Running Rio |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
She’s My Flame |
3.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Runnin On Promises |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
What About Q |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Press Your Luck |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lucky Nea |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Lansdowne (GB) |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wine and Whisky |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Windribbon |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tulane Tryst |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Trusty Rusty |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lambeau |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
R Heisman |
0.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
El Ondeado |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Nap |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mr. Machupicchu |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Escape Plan |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Known Idea |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Refocus |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mystic Spirit |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Travelin’ Show |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Prince Prancealot |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Super Enticing |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ur in Trouble |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Toulouse Detrac |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Greylight |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Queen Girvin |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pineapple Cruise |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Malibu Coast |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
National Generaux (IRE) |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Tom and Jazzy |
2.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bee Catcher |
4.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Limited Heatwave |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Flint Stroll |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Seattle Breakout |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Nanci Griffith |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lady Cruiser |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Warren’s Showgirl |
0.80 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Blondzilla |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mineral Rights |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Devil D’ Oro |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Miss Allure |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Issa Court |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jessebear |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Back On Track |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Quantum Innergy |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Blonde Bombshell |
4.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hey Demps |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Councilwoman Jilly |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sweet Layla Rae |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Chamaville |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.