Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Salted | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Super Maxima | 15.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight in Austin | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Adeera | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Combattante | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hey Scooter | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Citizen Judy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Toodle Loo | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lite It Up Louie | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Moon Fleet | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grace Given | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Retail Therapy | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miranda | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Patty Van Twinkle | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Galadini | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Ruth | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | No Map Needed | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Andrea Beach | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Prison Bound | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kate’s Concerto | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Goldys Lock | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Belive N the Dream | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mrs. Rip | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Best Kiss Yet | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Reagan’s Flame | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Cool | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Three Polks | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sister Ella | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Balladry | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Quiero Dinero | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Hot Jeanie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hot Beach | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Halina’s Forte | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trial | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Let Them Watch | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tanya Showers | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Honey Dijon | 4.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ms. Tart | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Flight | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Expensive Cut | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Southern Sunset | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Colosseo | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pipes and Drums | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hern | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | He’s Got This | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pike Place | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beyond Best | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Double Clutch | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ransomware | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Depiction | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gatlinburg | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Unleash the Power | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Decanted | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Three On the Tree | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Mende | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Carcano | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Go Bali Go | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bolt From Above | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiverton (GB) | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Mr McGregor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Karma Director | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Brown Liquor Man | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bean Machine | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Everso Mischievous | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Denington | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Runnin’ Ray | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | U. S. Army | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Happy American | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Howling Time | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pats Property | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Take a Stand | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Noises Off | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Miranda Rights | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beuys (IRE) | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Clyde’s Got a Gun | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Desert Duke | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | What Say Thee | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freedom’s Way | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bakwena | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | O P Firecracker | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Huge Bigly | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | The Prince’s Spur | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Verbal | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Commandperformance | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Camaro Z | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sir Greylind | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Liam’s Journey | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Your Man | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Montevallo | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Who’s the King | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brilliant Man | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Baytown Bruiser | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mo Rhodes | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Patch O’Brien | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Hawks Creek | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.