Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
I Got Game |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Predecessor |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Politicallycorrect |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Anytime Anywhere |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Flyin Private |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sergeant Capps |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Malevaje |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Missile Cruiser |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
The Toner |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Ladle |
|
0 |
0-1 |
11 |
11 |
Default |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Perceptive |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Chiquita Reina |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bainbridge Dancer |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Peppers Girlfriend |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Maylen |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Joia Rara |
20.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ladle |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
12 |
12 |
Dice Arm |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Elliott Moon |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tapwrit Warrior |
30.00 |
9.8 |
19-1 |
2 |
2 |
Moon Fleet |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Sogno Di Campione (CHI) |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Phantom Ride |
5.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tiwanaku |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Man in the Can |
4.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Master Game |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Common Bond |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bird King |
15.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Outlier |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
3 |
3 |
Roman Centurian |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Chulligan |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Thanks Frank |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Cloud Without Rein |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Patriarchal |
4.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Remember the Fear |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hallelujah Harris |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
On Tap |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Wholeheartedly |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cowboy Luke |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Baule Del Tesoro |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Brother Rice |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Epic Battle |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
13 |
13 |
Pinfire |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
B Sudd |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Moreau |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
Veracruzin |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Brazen Boy |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Chryso Alogo |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
12 |
12 |
Furious Anger |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Iceatude |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Funny Uncle |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
One Red Cent |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
A La Carte |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Extra Halo |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Midnight Stormy |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Mirari |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Killshave Beauty |
10.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Coco Crush |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
She’s On the Rocks |
6.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Private Credit |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Our Dotsie |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cecile |
6.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Candy Bar |
10.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wings Like Eagles |
10.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Empirical View |
8.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Work of Fiction |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dreaming of Mo |
5.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
14 |
14 |
Esme |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
17 |
17 |
Stunningly |
1.20 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Catmint |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Condone |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Hidden Class |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Extra Anejo |
|
0 |
0-1 |
7 |
7 |
Extra Anejo |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Scotland |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Call Me Fast |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Eyeing Clover |
12.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Saffa’s Day |
15.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Track Mate |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Raise Cain |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Oscar Eclipse |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Confidence Game |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Dreaming of Kona |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Low Country Magic |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Thorny |
2.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mila Junes |
10.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Seven Natty Patty |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bette Davis |
12.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pleasestoptalking |
15.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Krickle |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Beauty N the Bolt |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sacred Saint |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.