Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Dashingly | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vibez | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uffda | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caboodle | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Criticism | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | God’s Favor | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ms McWhinney | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baltic Fire | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love Alive | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Roses n’ Chrome | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | She’s No Angel | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Slew’s Joy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Atomic Drop | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | C’Mon Man | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Worth Looking | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Diablo Rojo | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Forgiving Spirit | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | News At Ten (GB) | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thorne House | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seismic Spirit (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jack Sixpack | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tigerhon (FR) | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Father Delay | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Virat | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gypsy Tears | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smart Mo | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Swear Dave | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Mammoth | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ghazaaly | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smart Mo | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Low Expectations | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gavea | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I Don’t Get It | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ultimate Gamble | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Glamora (IRE) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Not A Sinner (GB) | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Upcharge | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Disposition | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lovin’ On the Run | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Midnight | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carson Jen | 50.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Automax (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Justifymydreams (NZ) | 4.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sophisticate | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Desire | 50.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Crypto Craze | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carol’s Comic | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pat’s Paddock Pick | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thales | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | D D S Express | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Big Cheeseola | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Leading the Pace | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | L’Enfant Dit | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dadstar | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Good N Thirsty | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gostoso | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sir Pistolero | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pioneer Prince | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Caribbean King | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Legs Romolo | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Belmont Bill | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Promissio | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Smooth Salute | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Derecho Dandy | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nashoba’s Joy | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jeweled Shillelagh | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mongolian Altai | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mighty Kai | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Santarena | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eagles Flight | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Visceral | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sully | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tour Player | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fight With Honor | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Le Mans | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Atitlan | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Corso’s Pick | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Thunder Ball | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Gamely S.) – Gamely S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ruby Nell | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Anisette (GB) | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Linda’s Gift | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncorked (AUS) | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Olivia Maralda (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Justique | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nadette (FR) | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Forever After All | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Yerwanthere (IRE) | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Hollywood Gold Cup S.) – Hollywood Gold Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Judge Miller | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reincarnate | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Fisk | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mixto | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Subsanador (ARG) | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Arrowthegreat | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oviatt Class | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ashcroft | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Shoemaker Mile S.) – Shoemaker Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| There Goes Harvard | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Du Jour | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Conclude | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Easter (FR) | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Johannes | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Air Force Red | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Goliad | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irideo (ARG) | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Funtastic Again | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dominican Pioneer | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War At Sea | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | There Goes Harvard | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.