Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Del Mar Jerry | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jamming Eddy | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Box | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Upward Mobility | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hapi Hapi | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Marks Hip | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Time to Party | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thirsty Destiny | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 2 | 2 | Thirsty Mama | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dyin a Thirst | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tropical Rain Day | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | In the Air Tonight | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thirsty Destiny | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lula Bella | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Ella Rae | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Half Nelson | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Run for My Honey | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Kaline | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Silence | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crown of Hope | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lahaina Flavor | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Single Track Mind (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mega Moon | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Goldeneye | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seventeen Black | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Foot | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Explain This Audit | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lil’ Bit Bossy | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Gracie’s Big Day | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pavel’s Etoile | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unbridled Bride | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chatty Leroybrown | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gobernadora Ely | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thirsty in Vegas | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swift Harmony | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lil’ Bit Bossy | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mubtadaa | 0 | 0-1 | |||
| 6 | 6 | Mubtadaa | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dandy Man Shines (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Standing O | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reiquist | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Legislator | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flashiest | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Living Life | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Infamous Angel | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Willisau | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Panuco | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rumble King | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Go Go Prancer | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Whiskeyinateacup | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’m a Bad Boy | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Charmz Away | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nap | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mr. Machupicchu | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | R Heisman | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | El Ondeado | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Loterie (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Delta Dawn | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’z the Law | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ashley | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Gem | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Runyon Canyon | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Fashion | 50.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Willa T | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Poppy’s Joy | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Den of Iniquity (GB) | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Baltic Fire | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Highly Desirable (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Ziti (FR) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Santa Margarita S.) – Santa Margarita S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Adare Manor | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Super Shine (ARG) | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coffee in Bed | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hennys Crazy Train | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Dream Machine | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Daytona S.) – Daytona S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | First Peace | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Almendares (GB) | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Astronomer | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lane Way | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mucho Del Oro | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Daniel’s Magic | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whatmakessammyrun | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nineeleventurbo | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Johnny Podres | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Air Force Red | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.