Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Kitten | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Best Worst Idea | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bacall | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pretty Coast | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sirdar | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Woke Up a Diva | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Energy Efficient | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Estilo Magico | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Runandscore | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Traffic Master | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | In the Dance | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Award Nominated | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Noneedtoworry | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Coach Caley (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky in Love | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Amor Salvaje | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tres Francais | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Arrogates Dream | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tooshay | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gulf Coast Girl | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thendara’s Lost | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mischiefness | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | I’m the Boss of Me | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Warrior’s Ransom | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Beauty | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cats Inthe Timber | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gone and Forgotten | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mavilus | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Creed | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Beastie Girl | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stylish Anna | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boardwalk Fries | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Turbo Millie | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lookin At Kisses | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Insouciant | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amorica | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | La Santa Clara | 30.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bravo Regina | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Ria Formosa | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Soleada | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Instparty | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Abundant Life | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Dame Catherine | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Spikezone | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brother Conway | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Wellington | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jackman | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Threes Over Deuces | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shaft’s Bullet | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elusive Image | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 10 | 10 | Fortinbras | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Sanctuary | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | General J R | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Go Take Charge | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Elusive Image | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Return Fire | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moonshine Runner | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bottomless Refill | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uwasnreddi | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Al | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hot On Your Heels | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Tio Tony | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Alabama Shake | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bad Hombre | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Conspiracy Fact | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Flay | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pappy’s Revenge | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Visual Artist | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Earl of Dassel | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Keen Lookin | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run for Reagan | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.