Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Episode | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stubold | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cheese | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Overnight Express | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Speed of Sound | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Popstyle | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Belle Mia | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | U Bet Jo’s Praying | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ruby Tiger | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | El Rojo Vivo | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Divining Stone | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fontina | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sixteen Cigarettes | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Antillean | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Commander Biz | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Chacharero | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | James Gang | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Truth and Honesty | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Warlord Cruzan | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Acamar | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mister Moore | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gone Nuts | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fort Attitude | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forty Flash | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rowdy Jess | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jonas’ Dream | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sioux | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Never Say Never | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mor Spring Spirit | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Beast | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Adios Papa Chico | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Youramystyle | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Split Strike | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mister Abarrio | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Motivo | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Internal Capital | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Iron Man Jimmy | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Admiral’s Wave | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Halon | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sam Stormy | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz the Coast | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | First Slew | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Arrogancy | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Sharp Cookie | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Black Fury | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Asher’s Edge | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | David’s Songs | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Street Earnings | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Street Surfer | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fattoush | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lukas Prince | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tricky Tiger | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Admiral Hopper | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Anatomy | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flirtini | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One of One | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bahamian Moon | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fortuna Belle | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sophia’s Storm | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pretty’n Awesome | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sir Mendel | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Modica | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dixie Preach | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Whiting Field | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Downing Street | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fight Til Dawn | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Wine Goggles | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | First Shot Fired | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nameless | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Palpito | 10.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Intolerable | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Sultan the Great | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Ruby’s Big Red | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Praiseworthy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Reggae Man | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.