Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Seeking the Dream |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Reiterate |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fairy Dreams |
6.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Expect to Be Ready |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Old Head |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
So Swell |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Captivating Cara |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mended We Stand |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Tootaloo Kangaroo |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Peach Tea |
8.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Chit Chat Chub |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Style to Follow |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Shudabeenacowgirl |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Seeyouatthehop |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Vanellope |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Celestial Joy (GB) |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Humble Joe |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sheer Dominance |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Why Stop There |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Whoosh |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rum Tum Tugger |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
I Can Do Magic |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Tatum |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jackson Road |
6.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Burn the Evidence |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Who Knows |
1.80 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Private Cabana |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Travel Guide |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rumaway |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Southampton Dock |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Grace Reformed |
6.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Nature’s Candy |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wild Girl |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Love to Eat |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Merrychill |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Neon City |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Tabor Time |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
My Little Red |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Payout Ratio (IRE) |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Burning Embers |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Duela Dent |
2.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Jody’s Ruby |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Namora |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Diane’s Merlot |
4.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Honorable Chill |
8.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bailintin |
4.50 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Neighbelline |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Lost and Confused |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Freedom Eagle |
4.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Starlord |
8.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Boy Tullio |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fuego Sos |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Craigh Na Dun |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Standpoint |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Addyson’s Dream |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Cupid’s Dude |
|
0 |
0-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cupid’s Dude |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jewels in the Bay |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Winged Foot |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Zamboni Warrior |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Caughtandcollected |
3.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Batter Up Bud |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ferrari Kid |
5.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Respectfully |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gold Medal Anna |
4.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mary Q |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dancing On My Own |
2.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Turn On the Charm |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gamestonks |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Villanito |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hot Love |
12.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Afraidofthebunny |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Chasing Stardom |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
I Feelucky Tonite |
4.50 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ira the Icon |
5.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Borracho Concho |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
So Close So Far |
5.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Road Call |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.