Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Prettywittyandwise | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Curlin’s Lil Gal | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Run for Home | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Tap Dancer | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Breathtaking Folly | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Knockout | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Javistha | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | More Than a Diva | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Floating | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chai Tea | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chip Shortage | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | My Four Point Oh | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Backseat Baby | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lazy N Lucky | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Canadian Jane | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Native Queen | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Revenant | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tiz a Strategy | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kantirun | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ready for Wine | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Secret City | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flat Out Nice | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Katelyn’s Mess | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hooked On Dreams | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Colorful Native | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Star of Mine | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Love Rocknstroll | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rowdy Ray | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Franklygreat | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Weller Rogue | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Jaysker | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Woke Up in Love | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ships On Fire | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Warrior’s Run | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Singh | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Temple City Run | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red White and Loud | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | A Brush of Luck | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Davidic Line | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Texthelegend | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keen Cat | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uxmal | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dinner At Crumpies | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Caseys Memory | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shouldaboughtdabar | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Mother Mary | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rose Parade | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Addababy | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Singing Emma | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kayla | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pat’s Ride | 4.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sing Charmer Sing | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charybdis | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.