Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Anmer Hall | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kid Azteca | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Player B | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Neon Lights (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Incredible Shot | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Ransom | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | J D’s Rude Boy | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Broadway Unions | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Size Lord | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Happy Sprinter | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lyell’s Song | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Schwarzmeier | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | McGregor Lake | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Cross Knight | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fly the Sky | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dont Fight the Fed | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speed Grazy | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bert’s Prospect | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big George | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bright Leaf | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Departure | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lambeau | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brazenly | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Buzz | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Tok | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Desert Code S.) – Desert Code S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | King of Gosford (GB) | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sorrento Sky (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | All That Glory | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Guy Named Joe | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rastaman Vibe | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wynstock | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bella Renella | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Taylor | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vella | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Woodbine Way | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tapit Doux | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roman Empress | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Calm Sea | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One of These Days (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moody Jim (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zalamo (FR) | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Hat Willie | 2.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kerry Gold | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | The Big Wam | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Soul of Midnight | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clooney | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Never Seen Before (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stop and a Tres | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Erebus | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | John Dunbar | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Cat | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Montana | 4.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fifty Cinco | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Shot of Courage | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | When Heroes Fly | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tracker | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Juanito | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baldoro | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chasing Rain | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Empire’s Classic | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Legitimate Target (GB) | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Daddy Justify | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dealers Special | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Classic Alphie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.