Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Garbo Speaks | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Espiridion | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Spirits | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Stroll | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kid Biz | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Streakin’ Easy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rockstar Red | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Captive Audience | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rudiano | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Battalion Bound | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’m an Oak | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beautiful Life | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kinfolk | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Prince | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Liberty’s Hauler | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Singing Groom | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bordinos | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Constitution Day | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Good Scout | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sailor Chow | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lode of Blarney | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Autopilot | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Russian to Win | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mister Sharpie | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Confetti Betty | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sabria | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Peggy Rules | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bug a Boo | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Risky Whisky | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Firebaugh | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Peace Dog | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Swede | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Palace Guard | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Luna | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Go Otto Go | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Touchdown Oklahoma | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dreaminonthenile | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Rose | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ellll E | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beautifly Troubl’d | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Biz B Quick | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Two Dot | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grand Design | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shut Up Man | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mystery Man | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Discreet Invasion | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Waitin’ On a Woman | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tough Company | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.