Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Lieutenant General | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Laddie Dance | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Heartbeat | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sig | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Takethefifth | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beltane | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Cents Non Cents | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Master of Malice | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Maximillions Dream | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gift Exchange | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Porquerolles | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | St. John’s | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chelonian | 5.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Understudy Kitty | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jolly by Golly | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Desvio | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rakia | 10.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Breakwater | 3.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Award | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Lad | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nasty Habit | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Express | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mirahmadi | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prado Road | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Great Heavens | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whenlovetakesover | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Open the Books | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| Open the Books | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Skipat S.) – Skipat S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Swall | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Late Frost | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Disco Ebo | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Shild O Mine | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Apple Picker | 1.40 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Poppy | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anonymously | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Marian Cross (GB) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Conceptualize | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Call the Question | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Barbtourage | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Amazing Mizzen | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Up for It | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cooter’s Revenge (AUS) | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Shared Authority | 50.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lenamagnetta | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Modarosa | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rye Smile | 2.50 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Chick Lang S.) – Chick Lang S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mr Skylight | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Petingas Twin | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Catahoula Moon | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cats by Five | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frost Free | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classic Joke | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Soddy J | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Market Street | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Gallorette S.) – Gallorette S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Five Towns (GB) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Dani Girl | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tequilera | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ascendancy | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fluffy Socks | 1.20 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dana’s Beauty | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blissful | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cats Inthe Timber | 4.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ninja Abarrio | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maryland Sprint S.) – Maryland Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Prevalence | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coastal Mission | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jaxon Traveler | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prince of Jericho | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Chow | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Bash | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Roo Roo | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (James W. Murphy S.) – James W. Murphy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Abrumar | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crystal Quest | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Jeremy | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Echo Lane | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Naptown | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twirling Point | 4.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tocayo | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speedyness | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Copper Tax | 1.40 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Fulmineo | 4.50 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Buckin’ Dreamer | 30.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Massif | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Sir Barton S. Sponsored By Brandon And Diannah Perry To Benefit The Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance) – Sir Barton S. Sponsored By Brandon And Diannah Perry To Benefit The Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tuscan Sky | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Imperial Gun | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gould’s Gold | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Corporate Power | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mighty Message | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Circle P | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Real Macho | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Daily Grind | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Deposition | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | D Day Sky | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Jim Mckay Turf Sprint S.) – Jim Mckay Turf Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Beer Can Man | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carotari | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boat’s a Rockin | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Witty | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | That’s Right | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grooms All Bizness | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mid Day Image | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Charging | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Where’s Ray | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smooth B | 12.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Surprise Boss | 50.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hunter Joe | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Dinner Party S.) – Dinner Party S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Funtastic Again | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Emmanuel | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Highland Chief (IRE) | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Balnikhov (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | English Bee | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Atone | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Running Bee | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Beatbox | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Adhamo (IRE) | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Eons | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crabs N Beer | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Helms Deep | 50.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Preakness S.) – Preakness S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Muth | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Imagination | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Catching Freedom | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mystik Dan | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Heavy | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seize the Grey | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tuscan Gold | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Just Steel | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mugatu | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| Seize the Grey | 13 | 25-1 | |||
| Catching Freedom | 13 | 25-1 | |||
| Mystik Dan | 13 | 25-1 | |||
| Seize the Grey | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 14 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sheriff Ronnie | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Armando R | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Union Fleet | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | It’s Viper | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speargun | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frightland | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Curlin’s Malibu | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.