Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Save the Mischief |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kokopelli Girl |
1.60 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Nezy’s Girl |
12.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Problems Abound |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Go Chloe Go |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ali’s Jersey Girl |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
I’m a Lucky Girl |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Xerces |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Kate’s Golden Dude |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dathoss |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sea Trident |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wood Be Wild |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Liberty Star |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
If We Get Lucky |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rockin Freebee |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dontinvademyspace |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Party At Sam’s |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Evolutionary |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bali Amour |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pallino |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rumaway |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Capo |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Trumpet Call |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
This Round’s Mine |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bahama Pearl |
1.60 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Starship Rogue |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Leviosa |
1.80 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cup of Life |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Knock Out Kid |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Takestwotowiggle |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Dalton |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Madison Luvs Duke |
6.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shpilkes |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
12 |
12 |
Warrior’s Vendetta |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Midnight Chrome |
4.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dixie’s Two Stents |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sacred Rider |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
13 |
13 |
Sophos |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
16 |
16 |
Jarlian |
3.50 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
14 |
14 |
Centurion |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Castagno |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Reconvene |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Omerta Code |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Hoku |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Batter Up Bud |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Midnight Cat |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Jw’s Third Mischie |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Yo Nessroundonkern |
1.60 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
We Ready |
2.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jack Beanstalk |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Captain Chazz |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Refund Rigler |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Minxzhippsdontleye |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Causes Trouble |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
He’s Incredible |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bronx Boys |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Natural Harbor |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
In Sky We Trust |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tap in Formation |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Capital Conquest |
1.80 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Cause I Said |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Decoupage |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Powwa of Love |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Boss Like Beth |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Valiant Majesty |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jezebel Jade |
6.00 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Denali Rae |
4.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Peacelovenkarma |
15.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sweet Mischief |
20.00 |
9.9 |
19-1 |
8 |
8 |
Broad Jumper |
12.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Freedom Road |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Iconic Legacy |
8.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Neigh Dude |
5.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
B B Bad |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Jova |
6.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shadow Box |
12.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
11 |
11 |
Practical Coach |
4.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Angelus Warrior |
8.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
Heffner |
15.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dadashev |
15.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hotpot |
8.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Look Out Lambo |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Teewinot Pass |
20.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Corkman |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Textpectation |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Seven Is a Breeze |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cartier Cat |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Wizard Serrat |
4.50 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
True Dakotan |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Jebologist |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Sensible Jim |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Allevare |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.