Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Frac Right |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Celentano |
3.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
He Shoots He Wins |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Imperial Star |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Indy Cowboy |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Backroadsbilly |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Uncle’s the Banker |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Smoken Chloe |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ghostly Perfection |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mo Twilight |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Six for a Nine |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Powaqa |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Texensis |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Iron Princess |
6.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Stormy Ocean |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Emerald Lake |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Make No Mistake |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kitten’s Romance |
1.80 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Erasmo’s Girl |
3.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lady in Red |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bayou Belle |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Thunderheavyrain |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Original Me |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gradevole |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hayek |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fedaline |
3.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
T’pring |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Blonde Dynamo |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Speedy Johny |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Seattle Signal |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Original Me |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Forest Vixen |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Give Me the Boots |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gizmo’s B F F |
3.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lois Len |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Summer Snow |
3.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Hard to Capture |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Peach Cobbler |
2.50 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Blazing Sky |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
American Gamble |
10.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Demurely |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Princessonamission |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cate’s Charm |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Painted Glory |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mrs. C |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Final Draft |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
All for Honor |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Stone Age (IRE) |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Aha Moment |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cool Kiss |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Stanley House |
4.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lac Macaza |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
On Thin Ice |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Sugar It’s Eli |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Glorious Revenge |
8.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ashuka |
20.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Highland Rocky |
20.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Canadian Avro |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Red in Front |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Play the Dots |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Halcon Negro |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Haahee |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.