Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
9 |
Band Camp |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
2 |
Castle Island |
2.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Irish Warlock |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
4 |
Patient Capital |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1 |
6 |
Under the Radar |
3.50 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1A |
8 |
Chelonian |
3.50 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
2 |
1 |
Game Change |
4.50 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
4 |
3 |
Collection Day |
4.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
6 |
5 |
Goodafternoonoscar |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Tidewater |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Atmidnight |
20.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Thunder Lad |
50.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Great Heavens |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
12 |
12 |
Fun Notion |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Smitten Enough |
30.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Prado Road |
2.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
15 |
15 |
He’s Orientate |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
One Whirlwind Ride |
2.50 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
John Hall |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
16 |
16 |
Street Rockin |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
13 |
13 |
Chat Blanc |
12.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Always Gambling |
10.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Had to Have Him |
6.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
5 |
5 |
Great Days Ahead |
20.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
14 |
14 |
Benny Havens |
30.00 |
12.1 |
23-1 |
|
|
Always Gambling |
|
18 |
34-1 |
|
|
Had to Have Him |
|
18 |
34-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Irish Hero |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Kake’s Arrow |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Without Pretence |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Car Ride |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lucky Prince |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Nielson |
4.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Same Day as L J |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tear It Up |
30.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
10 |
10 |
Brindano |
10.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Rescue That Girl |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Dr Oseran |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Barzini |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Minister for Magic |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rock the Boat |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Ship the Goods |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Matta |
6.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Childers |
4.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Swill |
8.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Talented Man |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
8 |
8 |
Force of Justice |
20.00 |
9.8 |
19-1 |
9 |
9 |
Marched |
30.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Heldish |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Golden Candy |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
No Easy Days |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Point Dume |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cajun Dream |
30.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Take Charge Too |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Arden’sluckytobe |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
John the Bear |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Monday Morning Qb |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
North Highland |
8.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
15 |
15 |
Ike’s Gamble |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
No Foolin Mo |
12.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
12 |
12 |
Border War |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Eff Thirty Five |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Saisir Le Jour |
30.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cobblestone Bridge |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Forceful |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mission North |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Cinder Block |
3.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Polar Bear Plunge |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Wow Whata Party |
15.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Union Bulldog |
30.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
13 |
13 |
Always Fun |
30.00 |
11.6 |
22-1 |
11 |
11 |
Dyna Point |
30.00 |
11.7 |
22-1 |
14 |
14 |
Mr Flowers |
6.00 |
15 |
28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Thegirlfromireland |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Paper Mansion |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Princess Indy |
10.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Naval Empire |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ruda |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Sun Bee |
3.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
13 |
13 |
Always Laughing |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bitty Boss |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
3 |
3 |
Chelichna |
20.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
14 |
14 |
Galilei |
10.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
9 |
9 |
Gold Digging Broad |
30.00 |
10.5 |
20-1 |
4 |
4 |
Surya |
6.00 |
10.7 |
20-1 |
10 |
10 |
Continentalcongres |
2.00 |
10.7 |
20-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hazardous Humor |
30.00 |
14 |
26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allaire Dupont Distaff S.) – Allaire Dupont Distaff S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Musical Mischief |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Julia Shining |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Intrepid Dream |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Queen of Missoula |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Shotgun Hottie |
1.80 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lacie Be Good |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Western Lane |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cats Inthe Timber |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Hilltop S.) – Hilltop S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Just Better |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Royal Wintour |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
She Feels Pretty |
1.40 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Roanan Goddess |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Modern Sound |
30.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Society Ball |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Turf Rocket |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Brown Suga Babe |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
4 |
4 |
Waves of Mischief |
4.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
3 |
3 |
Expatriate |
6.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Miss Preakness S.) – Miss Preakness S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Youalmosthadme |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Discreet Ops |
12.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mystic Lake |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cap Classique |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lady Moscato |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Launch |
4.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Closing Act |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Let Them Watch |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miss Harriett |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Carmelina |
12.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Value Area |
15.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
12 |
12 |
Belle’s Blue Bell |
30.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (The Very One S.) – The Very One S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Kaufymaker |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Queen of the Mud (IRE) |
3.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
All That Magic |
5.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
13 |
13 |
High Class |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Future Is Now |
6.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hollywood Walk |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Port Townsend |
15.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bosserati |
15.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
12 |
12 |
La Traviesa |
15.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
11 |
11 |
Anonymously |
8.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
6 |
6 |
Shoshanah |
20.00 |
10.8 |
20-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dulce Kiara |
30.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lilly Simone |
30.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Pimlico Special S.) – Pimlico Special S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Kingsbarns |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Red Route One |
1.60 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Time for Trouble |
10.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Harlocap |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Royal Ship (BRZ) |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pyrenees |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Be Better |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Double Crown |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (George E. Mitchell Black-eyed Susan S.) – George E. Mitchell Black-eyed Susan S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Gun Song |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Corposo |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Recharge |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lemon Muffin |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ringy Dingy |
10.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Call Another Play |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Whocouldaskformo |
6.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Jeanne Marie |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 14 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Curly Larry and Mo |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
American Unity |
8.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wonderful Justice (GB) |
1.80 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
The Addison Pour |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Extrasexybigdaddee |
4.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Brilliant Ice |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Wow Whata Summer |
12.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Agent Creed |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Speargun |
6.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
2 |
2 |
Captain Quint |
30.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.