Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Special Dispatch |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Drobny |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Coach Campbell |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Maliblue |
4.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bounteous |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Seven Taylors |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lebombo |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Oathbreaker |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Kyle Beauty |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rose Palace |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Goshen |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Abitibi |
2.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Forever Home |
2.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kitten Calls |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Swiftwind |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Vodka With a Twist |
8.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Slang |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Achieve |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
La Cara |
6.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Murphy Girl |
5.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Anakarina |
4.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lalily |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Rose Alabama |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Crushed Ice |
8.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Retail Therapy |
6.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Georgia On E’smind |
5.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Vino Veloce |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Low Key Flex |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Pam Pam |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Argan |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Committee of One |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Demolition Duke |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Run Carson |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
11 |
11 |
Cigarette Boat |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bear River |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Polster |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
12 |
12 |
Sugar Gray Leonard |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
14 |
14 |
Silver Halo |
3.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Chambers Bay |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Pretty Fast |
20.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
13 |
13 |
Easy Operator |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Zartownis |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Pinfire |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Grande Tortugon (CHI) |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
More Than Five |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Quarrymen |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sound Doctrine |
2.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mauna Kea Bound |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Write Off Jerry |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Family Factor |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Smoothdini |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Quencio |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Gun Rush |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
P H Factor |
5.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
On a Spree |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hoodlum |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Nepal Up |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Super Curioso (ARG) |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Knight’s Cross |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Born Flawless |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Howl |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Amaretti |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Anywho |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Unsung Melody |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Backyard Money |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Chandana |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Charriere |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sweet Alyssa |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Condensation |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Without Cause |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Kimber Spice |
8.00 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Timeless Elegance |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
11 |
11 |
Heartstruck |
15.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mo Lantern |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mishka |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lucky Speech |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Stay Lost |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Mulima |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Deep Satin |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
She a Baddie |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Scenic Beauty |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Lemon Latte |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Adrasteia |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Mont Saint Michel (FR) |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Centuria (IRE) |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.