Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
The Brigade |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Heat |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Boundfortrouble |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Nervana |
3.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dude Affright |
30.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Zaddy |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Grey Shadow |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Motivo |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Las Olas |
2.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Battle of Dover |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hari |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Awesome for Sure |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fast Chad |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Summer Storm Stric |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Darth |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Who Lady Who |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Inablink |
3.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
I Love Ireland |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lucevan La Stelle |
4.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Joyful Eliza (GB) |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jess’s Moment |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Corrin Peak |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Storm Brave |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Boca Boy |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Boldness |
2.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Belts ‘n Brooks |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Golden Tone |
10.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
B G Lee |
30.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Storm P |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Menelik |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Undalay |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Barrage |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
The Mar |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mr Brizel |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Opposites Attract |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Curlin’s Kitten |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Just for Luck |
1.80 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Globes |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Big City |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
From the Clouds |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Go Irish |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Quatrocento |
15.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fiveeyesonskystars |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Come to Papa |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Agent Mor |
30.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Shadow Surge |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Marshmallow Queen |
1.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Demar’s Legacy |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Miss Sayely |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Qualificata |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Gallop d’Hermes |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Amy the Butcher |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Royal Palm Juvenile Fillies S.) – Royal Palm Juvenile Fillies S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Perfect Shances |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bullet |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
12 |
12 |
Unchained Elaine |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
My Emmy |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Good Long Cry |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
You Need Me |
30.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bunratty Manor (IRE) |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bois Blanc |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ramsey Pond |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
The Queens M G |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Kip the Distance |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
China Blue |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Cape Trafalgar |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Toxic Gray |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Big Martini |
8.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Turbo |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bron and Brow |
4.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Luni Sima |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Awesome Strong |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Royal Palm Juvenile S.) – Royal Palm Juvenile S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Reach for the Rose |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gabaldon |
30.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Enterdadragon |
30.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
12 |
12 |
Garden of War |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Madroc |
12.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
I Know I Know |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Governor Sam |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Classy War |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bright Skittle |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Incanto (IRE) |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Makeit to Cheyenne |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Raise the Bar |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.