Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Norfie |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Major King |
1.60 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Flatter Me |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Nature Boy |
20.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Exalted Charm |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Federal Exchange |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Fourway Stop |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tiz Erin |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Far Above |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bella Carmelina |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lunetta Jak |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Miss Melodramatic |
30.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Some of It |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Fiorenza |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Numeric |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Goldcrest |
2.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tone Elise |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Devra Warrior |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Morena Dancer |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Win Or Cellar |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mudshaft |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Ernestina |
|
0 |
0-1 |
4 |
4 |
Far and Few |
0.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Super Freaky Girl |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ernestina |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Princess Miss Emil |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bianka Heart |
30.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Queen Tatiana |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Play Misty (IRE) |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Reconnecting |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Marshamarshamarsha |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Darling Darley |
4.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Love Rhapsody |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kilkenny Bella |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Gratia |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mystic Sunrise |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Heals the Soul |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rhum Saint Esprit |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Adios Cole |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Paynted Blue |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Takecareofbusiness |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
English Bob |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Boomcchero |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Bizymaline |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dontmesswithtess |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Love Her Lots |
1.40 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Goodbetterbest |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Streaking Grey |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kizzy |
30.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
She Fled the Scene |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Linny Kate |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Foxtrot Harry |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dunes of Gold |
2.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Annointed |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ramesses |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
R B’s Runner |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
He’s a Wild Child |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Guaio |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Goes the Clown |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.