Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Frosted Faith |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Volkert |
2.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Devils Only Friend |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Christensen |
3.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Song Runner |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Beganingreenpoint |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Napoleonic War |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Space Launch |
2.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tatanka |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Eyes On Target |
10.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Novo Sol (BRZ) |
3.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lorenz (BRZ) |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Souper Energizer |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Vladislav |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Joe Di Baggio |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Solomons Gold |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
All About Lucky |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cajun Hope |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lee Ann’s Warrior |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Double Play King |
0.80 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
|
|
Maximo |
|
0 |
0-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lieutenant Stan |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Imapeppa |
8.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hermoso Hombre |
15.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jabran |
1.60 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mayheminthepalace |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Racket |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Maximo |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Guaicaipuro |
15.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Parakeet (IRE) |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Praiseworthy |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Queen Valentina |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Always Dialed |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Giuro |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mor Spring Spirit |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Nando |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Icelander |
10.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rocky Chitu |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Starship Mocha |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Beastly Speed |
1.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sam Stormy |
15.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Southern Dream |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Haberdashery |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tie Breaker |
3.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Grand Birdie |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Baha Secret |
1.40 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Black Belt Barbie |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kozem |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Naughty Favors |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tribute |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Braccesca |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Born a Gambler |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Stormy Victory |
12.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
The Doorman |
20.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cosmic Speculation |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Uncaptured Boy |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Fast N Steady |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Ensign Skip |
30.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Exult |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Andie One |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Free Smoke |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.