Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Omey Island | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Marsh Creek | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Chaz | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mysterious Husband | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Abitmischievous | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Highly Desirable (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Mo’s Gold | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tribal | 4.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Rabbi | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Slew’s Joy | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Established | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Divine Rascal | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | El Diablo Rojo | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Chewbacca | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | All That Glory | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cathal (IRE) | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tees Touch (GB) | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vader | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Angier | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eisenhower | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | In Suspense | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mendelssohns Music | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rhino | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mystic Spirit | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ignatowski | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | J Dutton | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mucho Suerte | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Puddin Head Jones | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Man Among Men | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mystification | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Halfway Line (GB) | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carver | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Seven Wonders | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Coast | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Mammoth | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coalinga Road | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sbagliato | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Class Clown | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scary Fast Ride | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Show Card | 1.60 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Power Surge | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Diamonds Danzing | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Senorita S.) – Senorita S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Alluring | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rascality | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Antifona (FR) | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Laulne (FR) | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Girl of My Dreams | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flattery | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shamrockin | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Visually | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ze’bul | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Habeas | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crowning Gold | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Soul of Midnight | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stop and a Tres | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Erebus | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Squalotoro | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bag’s Gold | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Just Nails | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Excelia (IRE) | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Summer | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jennifer’s d’Light | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hayley Levade | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pastiche (GB) | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Real Fire | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mylittlerunaway | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Llorona | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Vitalera (CHI) | 12.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiergarten | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | City Exile (GB) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barely Funtional | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Old Pal | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reckless Spirit | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lincoln Hawk (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jeweled Shillelagh | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nashoba’s Joy | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sea Singer (IRE) | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Dog | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.