Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rocket Sanders | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Crabtree | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Butch | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bradford | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mandatory Mission | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blessed Vision | 30.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Outlaw Run | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Day Jo | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Doublecheck | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Time Andbeyond | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Hayahlookatme | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Toffee | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quiero Dinero | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | True Princess | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unstable Princess | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pleasingly | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Molly of Stratford | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | What’s to Do | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cupid’s Music | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sassy Lass | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Subway Susie | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | God’s Country | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mansoura | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chrome’s Echo | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sunday Spirit | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Great Barrier | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pearcy Road | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Get Away With It | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gentle Ben | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Our Heavenly Gift | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Big Andy Mort | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Secret Strategy | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Perscripture | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Run Fearless | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Delta Moon | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mocha Kiss | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Too Pretty | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Magnolia Mae | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heated Argument | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Petula | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Musicmansandy | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Storming | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Astrid | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Doughty | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shutup Please | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Halaga | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Navagationalbeacon | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | P R Call Me Maybe | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mount Craig | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baton Rouge | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Coach Jimi D | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ride for Sul | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ryno Wrecker | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ronaldinho | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Memphis Pharoah | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Charbon | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jimmy Slice | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | I’m Wide Awake | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wind of Change (BRZ) | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Top Gunner | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rob the Rich | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | City of Clouds | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Palace Kitten | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boogie Bode | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | League of Legends | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Absolute Chaos | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Plausible Denile | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Excitable Boy | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Storms Home | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Interlock Empire | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Risk It | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Henro | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Congrats On Fifty | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Konteekee | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strato | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flying Houdini | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dimatic | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Give Me a Reason | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big to Do | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Road | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | El Dinero | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Count Dracula | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Your Man | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Willy D’s | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pappy’s Revenge | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Plate | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Call the Cavalry | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Southern Sunset | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Inexorable | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Recker Point | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Phantom Ride | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Auto Glide | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heir to Greatness | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | C F V Bullet | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dance Some Mo | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Calrissian | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | St Andrews | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Trigger Happy | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Megan’s Honor | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Affable Monarch | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Lake Ouachita S.) – Lake Ouachita S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Law Professor | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ain’t Life Grand | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Prospector | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Frosted Departure | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Strong Tide | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nautical Star | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ben Franklin | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alexander Helios | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rungius | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 11 | 11 | Rungius | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mystery Mo | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Polterer | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Indian Gulch | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Paper | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Act | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | What a Country | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Canadian Pharoah | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fetchs Brahm | 50.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Truculent | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | El Mic Tiesun | 50.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Quick Buck | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Make Noise | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Howl Yeah | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.